Sampling Survey Design Presidential Election Quick Count Sumatera Island
Abstract
The number of TPS on the island of Sumatra is very large, in order to save time and money in conducting surveys, a sampling survey design was created. The purpose of this study is to predict the results of the presidential election on the island of Sumatra. The TPS sample frame was obtained in four stages where each stage used a sampling technique, namely the first and second stages used stratified random sampling, the third stage used systematic random sampling, and the last used clusters. The results obtained are with different TPS sample sizes showing the same results. The victory in the presidential election on the island of Sumatra was won by candidate pair number two. Then compared with the overall TPS population in Sumatra. Based on the population, the second candidate pair is also superior. So it can be concluded that the use of a survey sampling design in this study is appropriate in predicting the results of the elected president election.
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